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China PMI Stabilizes in May to Signal a Possible Peak in Second Quarter

May 31, 2021
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China PMI Stabilizes in May to Signal a Possible Peak in Second Quarter
China’s factory sector turned in its best in three months, a preliminary HSBC survey showed on Tuesday (23 June 2015), though overall manufacturing activity still contracted slightly. The HSBC flash manufacturing PMI for June climbed to 49.6 from a final reading of 49.2 in May, HSBC said in the report. A reading above 50 indicates expansion, while a reading below that represents contraction.

China’s manufacturing output stabilized in May after posting a decline in economic activity the month prior, SCMP reported.

China's official PMI
  • The official composite PMI rose to 54.2 in May from 53.8 in April, above the 50 threshold that separates expansion from contraction.
  • The service sector index posted a slight decline to 54.3 from 54.4 the previous month, while construction grew to 60.1 from 57.4.
  • The official PMI was little changed at 51.0 in May from 51.1 in April, following the seven-day “golden week” holiday in China. 
  • The decline was partly offset by a growth in consumer activity in non-manufacturing sectors.
  • The official non-manufacturing PMI grew to 55.2 in May from 54.9 the month prior. This measures sentiments in services and construction.
  • ING Bank Chief Economist for Greater China Iris Pang believes consumers will wait for the long holidays in October to splurge after the spending spree in May.
  • Nomura economists believe growth will slow in the second half of the year as pent-up demand subsides and markets shift back to services.

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